Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.020218 0.022460 0.024701 0.027102 0.029597 0.032106 0.034817
2025-02-16 0.015912 0.019461 0.023140 0.027204 0.031543 0.036010 0.040936
2025-02-23 0.012863 0.017202 0.021846 0.027109 0.032841 0.038843 0.045554
2025-03-02 0.010452 0.015295 0.020640 0.026834 0.033698 0.040980 0.049211
2025-03-09 0.008613 0.013807 0.019717 0.026702 0.034559 0.042986 0.052593
2025-03-16 0.006787 0.012136 0.018432 0.026034 0.034711 0.044119 0.054931
2025-03-23 0.005646 0.011175 0.017881 0.026121 0.035637 0.046037 0.058062
2025-03-30 0.004446 0.010000 0.016983 0.025732 0.035960 0.047233 0.060349
2025-04-06 0.003290 0.008734 0.015881 0.025030 0.035867 0.047915 0.062020
2025-04-13 0.002125 0.007253 0.014399 0.023794 0.035095 0.047782 0.062738
2025-04-20 0.001726 0.006891 0.014336 0.024258 0.036283 0.049847 0.065889
2025-04-27 0.001136 0.006074 0.013606 0.023858 0.036423 0.050691 0.067645
2025-05-04 0.000484 0.004936 0.012446 0.023001 0.036149 0.051223 0.069248
2025-05-11 0.000193 0.004378 0.012090 0.023187 0.037164 0.053290 0.072655
2025-05-18 0.000014 0.003748 0.011561 0.023111 0.037839 0.054948 0.075585
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003106 0.010930 0.022856 0.038263 0.056288 0.078127
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002586 0.010426 0.022734 0.038822 0.057763 0.080802
2025-06-08 NaN 0.001941 0.009593 0.022109 0.038723 0.058436 0.082531
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001613 0.009284 0.022191 0.039491 0.060119 0.085409
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001188 0.008689 0.021827 0.039671 0.061085 0.087439
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000754 0.007927 0.021173 0.039450 0.061550 0.088869
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000318 0.006880 0.020022 0.038549 0.061167 0.089287
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000244 0.006871 0.020453 0.039705 0.063266 0.092599